usa-2024-electoral-divergence / datapackage.json
andrefelipe-afos
Correct the declared poll provenance: FiveThirtyEight (CC BY 4.0), not Wikipedia
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{
"name": "usa-2024-electoral-divergence",
"title": "Usa 2024 Electoral Divergence Electoral Divergence Dataset",
"description": "Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, and 2024 is the most honest case in the collection: Polymarket's two big markets disagreed with each other. The winner market (electoral college), the largest election market in history at about US$3.7 billion, gave Trump ~56% on t",
"version": "1.1.0",
"created": "2026-07-17T00:00:00Z",
"homepage": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/usa-2024-electoral-divergence",
"keywords": [
"elections",
"prediction-markets",
"opinion-polls",
"electoral-divergence",
"open-data"
],
"licenses": [
{
"name": "CC-BY-4.0",
"title": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0",
"path": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
}
],
"contributors": [
{
"title": "AFOS Analytics",
"role": "author",
"path": "https://afos-analytics.com"
}
],
"sources": [
{
"title": "Opinion polls via FiveThirtyEight president_polls.csv (CC BY 4.0), original pollsters credited",
"path": "https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/tree/master/polls"
},
{
"title": "Polymarket (on-chain prediction market)"
},
{
"title": "World Bank (WGI, WDI) for structural context"
}
],
"resources": [
{
"name": "data-usa-divergence-timeseries",
"type": "table",
"path": "data/usa-divergence-timeseries.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
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"type": "date"
},
{
"name": "candidate",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "market_win_prob_pct",
"type": "number"
},
{
"name": "poll_vote_share_pct",
"type": "number"
},
{
"name": "naive_gap_pp",
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}
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"missingValues": [
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},
{
"name": "data-usa-popularvote-market-timeseries",
"type": "table",
"path": "data/usa-popularvote-market-timeseries.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
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"mediatype": "text/csv",
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},
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}