{
  "name": "usa-2024-electoral-divergence",
  "title": "Usa 2024 Electoral Divergence Electoral Divergence Dataset",
  "description": "Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, and 2024 is the most honest case in the collection: Polymarket's two big markets disagreed with each other. The winner market (electoral college), the largest election market in history at about US$3.7 billion, gave Trump ~56% on t",
  "version": "1.1.0",
  "created": "2026-07-17T00:00:00Z",
  "homepage": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/usa-2024-electoral-divergence",
  "keywords": [
    "elections",
    "prediction-markets",
    "opinion-polls",
    "electoral-divergence",
    "open-data"
  ],
  "licenses": [
    {
      "name": "CC-BY-4.0",
      "title": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0",
      "path": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
    }
  ],
  "contributors": [
    {
      "title": "AFOS Analytics",
      "role": "author",
      "path": "https://afos-analytics.com"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Opinion polls via FiveThirtyEight president_polls.csv (CC BY 4.0), original pollsters credited",
      "path": "https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/tree/master/polls"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket (on-chain prediction market)"
    },
    {
      "title": "World Bank (WGI, WDI) for structural context"
    }
  ],
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            "type": "date"
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            "name": "candidate",
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          },
          {
            "name": "market_win_prob_pct",
            "type": "number"
          },
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            "name": "poll_vote_share_pct",
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            "name": "naive_gap_pp",
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      "name": "press-usa-2024-press-timeline",
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      "format": "csv",
      "mediatype": "text/csv",
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}